Every call, frozen the day we made it.

Our picks land 6.3× more often than the field they're drawn from. Of 218 picks old enough to grade, 73 (33%) reached Positive-or-better player reviews or drew a real concurrent crowd — against 5.2% of the 2,672 demos we tracked exactly the same way but didn't pick. 25 of the wins were flagged before the demo had meaningful reviews at all. We report the misses too; they're below.

Called early — and it paid off

• About Fishing — flagged Jun 8, 2026 before its demo had a single review, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 496 demo reviews, Very Positive; 6,444 followers.
• One Billion Ducks — flagged Jun 25, 2026 with just 10 demo reviews in, 3 days after the demo dropped. Now 70 demo reviews, Very Positive; 188 followers.
• Trash Day — flagged Jun 14, 2026 with just 10 demo reviews in, 3 days after the demo dropped. Now 416 demo reviews, Very Positive; peaked at 302 concurrent players; 4,758 followers.
• All Our Broken Parts — flagged Aug 4, 2026 with just 10 demo reviews in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 127 demo reviews, Very Positive; 2,971 followers.
• Bottled by Bears — flagged Jul 2, 2026 with just 9 demo reviews in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 58 demo reviews, Very Positive; 311 followers.
• A Stray Line — flagged Aug 8, 2026 with just 10 demo reviews in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 51 demo reviews, Very Positive; 507 followers.
• Loop Tower — flagged Jul 10, 2026 before its demo had a single review, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 90 demo reviews, Very Positive; peaked at 520 concurrent players; 296 followers.
• Kill The Sea — flagged Jul 10, 2026 with just 1 demo review in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 34 demo reviews, Positive; 546 followers.
• 落幕之前 Before the Fall — flagged Jul 1, 2026 with just 1 demo review in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 61 demo reviews, Very Positive; 1,454 followers.
• BioEden — flagged Jun 7, 2026 with just 3 demo reviews in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 67 demo reviews, Very Positive; 1,411 followers.
• Wild n Chill — flagged Aug 7, 2026 with just 4 demo reviews in, 1 day after the demo dropped. Now 93 demo reviews, Very Positive; 8,568 followers.
• Func Key — flagged Jun 8, 2026 with just 10 demo reviews in, 5 days after the demo dropped. Now 49 demo reviews, Positive; 201 followers.

Calls that didn't pan out

Reported as plainly as the wins — a track record that only shows hits isn't one.

• Backrooms: Collision Not Found — flagged Jun 19, 2026; its demo reviews settled at 58 reviews, Mixed.
• Samurai: Ronin's Path — flagged Jun 16, 2026; its demo reviews settled at 49 reviews, Mixed.
• Life Core — flagged Jun 18, 2026; never caught on with players.
• Fowl Brawl: When Chickens Fly — flagged Jun 15, 2026; never caught on with players.
• Press a Button Simulator — flagged Jun 11, 2026; never caught on with players.

Still unsigned — the watchlist

The 43 best-performing demos we flagged that are still self-published. We poll their publisher status weekly, so the day one of them signs, we'll have the date.

• One Billion Ducks — 70 demo reviews, Very Positive; 188 followers. · watched 7 checks in, still self-published
• Trash Day — 416 demo reviews, Very Positive; peaked at 302 concurrent players; 4,758 followers. · watched 9 checks in, still self-published
• Bottled by Bears — 58 demo reviews, Very Positive; 311 followers. · watched 6 checks in, still self-published
• A Stray Line — 51 demo reviews, Very Positive; 507 followers. · watched 2 checks in, still self-published
• Loop Tower — 90 demo reviews, Very Positive; peaked at 520 concurrent players; 296 followers. · watched 5 checks in, still self-published
• 落幕之前 Before the Fall — 61 demo reviews, Very Positive; 1,454 followers. · watched 6 checks in, still self-published
• Wild n Chill — 93 demo reviews, Very Positive; 8,568 followers. · watched 2 checks in, still self-published
• Func Key — 49 demo reviews, Positive; 201 followers. · watched 9 checks in, still self-published
• Mysarium — 30 demo reviews, Positive; 360 followers. · watched 5 checks in, still self-published
• Slotbound — 421 demo reviews, Very Positive; peaked at 917 concurrent players; 3,077 followers. · watched 5 checks in, still self-published
• Legion of Judgment: Fallen Angel — 41 demo reviews, Positive; 843 followers. · watched 7 checks in, still self-published
• Artesnaut — 29 demo reviews, Positive; 402 followers. · watched 8 checks in, still self-published
• Lawn Mowing Simulator 2 — 53 demo reviews, Very Positive; 809 followers. · watched 9 checks in, still self-published
• Catechesis — 656 demo reviews, Overwhelmingly Positive; peaked at 252 concurrent players; 6,325 followers. · watched 9 checks in, still self-published
• Moonbrella — 295 demo reviews, Very Positive; 731 followers. · watched 9 checks in, still self-published

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Picks are selected deterministically from public Steam store and community data and frozen at the moment they're published, so these receipts can't be rewritten after the fact. Outcomes are the demo's own player reviews and peak concurrent players, polled over time. 142 earlier calls are faithful algorithmic reconstructions from before live capture began (the selection is deterministic), marked separately in our data.